Friday, July 31st - MLB Matchup Graphs

This article previews some of the matchups for today’s MLB slate.

These graphs should help break down some of the pitching matchups and provide some useful info for your bets. Five games are previewed here. What do all these graphs even mean? I break it down below.

Team stat data is based on performance from June 28 to July 27.

Pitcher data is based on performance throughout the year, minimum 40 innings.

Bullpen ERA is updated daily.

 

WRC+

What is WRC+?  Interpretation: higher values = greater run likelihood. 100 is the league average.

 

PITCHER RUN VALUES

Higher number means better graded cumulative pitch mix, lower number means worse graded cumulative pitch mix

 

MATCH-UP GRAPHS

Stats are based on the opposing pitcher’s handedness, meaning, those team stats depend on if the starter is a RHP or LHP. Negative values = below league median, Positive values = above league median for each stat category for the past month.

 

EXAMPLE:

Dylan Cease induces more groundballs, allows fewer hard hits and Ks 13 percent above the league median. Cards hit into more groundballs, have hit slightly harder than the league median and K less than the league median by 2 percent (June 28-July 27).