Rockies vs Dodgers: The Best Bet to Make for This Late-Night MLB Matchup on Memorial Day

Betting on the Colorado Rockies to stay under their team total of 2.5 runs (+115) looks like one of the sharper plays on Monday night’s slate as they visit the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday night. With Emmet Sheehan on the mound for the Dodgers and a Rockies offense that has gone quiet, this matchup strongly favors limited production from the visitors.

Emmet Sheehan (3-1, 4.93 ERA) enters with elevated strikeout props across the sportsbooks, many setting his total at 5.5 or 6.5 with the over heavily juiced. That pricing reflects expectations of a dominant outing against a Rockies lineup that swings freely and struggles with swing-and-miss stuff. Sheehan’s 51 strikeouts in 45.2 innings this season, paired with his history of strong performances versus Colorado, points to a potential gem. Dodger Stadium’s pitcher-friendly environment should help him limit hard contact and keep the Rockies well below their seasonal scoring average.

The Rockies’ bats have cooled off massively over the last two weeks. After showing occasional life earlier, the offense has posted subpar outputs, including multiple games with one or two runs total. Key contributors like Mickey Moniak, Hunter Goodman, T.J. Rumfield, and Willi Castro have seen their production dip, with lower exit velocities and fewer extra-base hits in recent action. Road woes exacerbate the issue—Colorado sits well below .500 away from Coors Field and ranks near the bottom in road OPS. Facing Sheehan in a non-Coors environment removes their primary offensive crutch.

Los Angeles’ bullpen adds another layer of security. One of the league’s strongest relief corps in 2026, featuring arms like Tanner Scott, Alex Vesia, Blake Treinen, and others, boasts elite strikeout rates and low ERAs. They have consistently locked down late innings, often turning potential rallies into quick outs. Even if Sheehan exits after five or six strong frames, the Dodgers’ relievers should neutralize any late threat from the Rockies, keeping the total suppressed.

This is a textbook spot to fade the Rockies’ offense. Sheehan’s high-prop outlook signals a shutdown start, the visitors’ recent slump removes offensive upside, and Los Angeles’ lockdown bullpen ensures few late opportunities. Expect a low-output night from Colorado, making the team total under 2.5 a “no-brainer” play at plus money. I’ll meet you at the cash counter after the Rockies get shut out on Monday night.