Patriots vs Seahawks: The PrizePicks Square You Need to Take for the Super Bowl

The NFL season absolutely flew by. With only one game remaining, we need to get our money’s worth in the final game of the season. Straight bets, parlays, coin toss wagers, and of course PrizePicks lineups need to be placed. I have a PrizePicks square that I’ve been looking at since they put it up on the board a couple of days ago. Let’s dive right in to why you need to lock in this PrizePicks square for the big game coming up. 

The marquee matchup in the Super Bowl is Jaxon Smith-Njigba versus Christian Gonzalez, New England's lockdown cornerback and one of the league's elite shadow defenders. Gonzalez has consistently erased top receivers this season, allowing minimal separation and few red-zone opportunities. Analysts have hyped this as the game's premier one-on-one battle—Micah Parsons and Rob Gronkowski both singled it out as must-watch television. JSN thrives in the slot with quickness and route precision, but Gonzalez's length, instincts, and physicality neutralize those traits. Expect New England to travel Gonzalez on JSN-heavy sets or bracket him in the red zone, forcing Sam Darnold to look elsewhere. In a game this big, Seattle won't force-feed contested targets against such coverage.

Game script strongly favors the under on the total (currently hovering around 45.5 across most books), with sharp money already pushing it down. Both teams boast top-10 defenses, and recent playoff trends show lower-scoring Super Bowls when elite secondaries meet balanced offenses. The Patriots rank among the league leaders in red-zone defense and touchdowns allowed, while Seattle's conservative approach under center limits explosive plays. Fewer possessions and a grind-it-out pace mean fewer overall touchdown opportunities—especially through the air.

That's where Kenneth Walker III dominates the equation. Walker is (-190) to (-200) to score a touchdown in the Super Bowl, reflecting Seattle's run-heavy gameplan. That is some serious respect for a running back that was splitting time the majority of the season. The Seahawks have leaned on Walker all playoffs, pounding the rock to control clock and protect leads. Against a Patriots front that's vulnerable up the middle but elite in pass defense, expect Seattle to feed Walker early and often—especially inside the 10-yard line—to avoid risky throws into New England's ball-hawking secondary. Sam Darnold has been careful with the football, but a costly interception in the Super Bowl could swing momentum. Why test Gonzalez and company when Walker can punch it in?

JSN's 10 regular-season scores came in a high-volume passing attack, but in a lower-scoring, run-dominant Super Bowl script, those opportunities dry up. Historical comps to Super Bowl XLIX (the last Seahawks-Patriots meeting) show conservative play-calling and limited WR touchdowns. At implied odds around (-120), JSN finishing without a touchdown is the sharp side in a matchup built for defense and ground control.