Guardians vs Mariners: The Best PrizePicks Square for Sunday Night Baseball

As the Seattle Mariners host the Guardians in the series finale at T-Mobile Park, there is a PrizePicks square everyone should be taking, and it involves fading Cal Raleigh. The veteran catcher has yet to cross the plate once this young 2026 season, and tonight’s matchup points to another zero-run night against a quality Guardians starter.

Cal Raleigh has always gotten off to painfully slow starts. Career splits show him hitting just .220 in March and April across his first five full seasons, with a modest .312 on-base percentage and limited extra-base power early on. He simply does not heat up until May, when his batting average climbs to .233 and his OPS jumps. That seasonal slow burn is no fluke—it’s who he is in the opening weeks, when the calendar still reads March and the legs aren’t yet under him.

This year the slump is even more pronounced because it carried straight over from the World Baseball Classic. Raleigh struggled badly for Team USA in the WBC, posting a dismal batting line that included multiple strikeouts per game and zero extra-base hits in limited action. He was eventually benched in high-leverage spots, and that poor timing at the plate has followed him directly into the regular season. Through the first three games against Cleveland he is 1-for-11 with nine strikeouts and—most importantly—zero runs scored. His on-base percentage sits at a meager .231, and he has looked completely overmatched at the plate.

Tonight’s matchup only amplifies the case for less than 0.5 runs. Slade Cecconi, now in Guardians pinstripes after his trade from Arizona, brings a 4.30 ERA and 109 strikeouts in 132 innings from 2025. He limits hard contact and works the strike zone efficiently, exactly the kind of starter who keeps hitters like the early-season Raleigh off the basepaths. With the Guardians bullpen fresh and the Mariners offense still searching for rhythm, the opportunities for Raleigh to reach base, advance, and score are slim.

PrizePicks users who faded Raleigh’s runs square in the opening series have already cashed multiple times. The numbers don’t lie: zero runs through three games, a career-long habit of ice-cold Aprils, and fresh WBC rust that has yet to shake off. When the first pitch is thrown on Peacock this evening, expect another quiet night from the Mariners backstop—no trips around the bases, no crossing home plate, and another easy cash on the less than 0.5 runs square. I’ll meet you at the cash counter when this square smacks tonight.