Athletics vs Giants: How to Make Money Betting This Late-Night MLB Game

How is the total in San Francisco tonight this high? I haven’t seen a total at 8.5 in a game involving Robbie Ray at home in forever. Something is telling me that we’re getting runs in this late-night MLB game tonight.

Oracle Park has long suppressed run scoring with its cool Bay Area air, deep dimensions, and wind patterns that knock down fly balls. It consistently ranks among the lowest in MLB for home runs and overall runs. A total of 8.5 is unusually high here — typical games in this ballpark trend closer to 7–8 runs. For the line to be set this elevated, oddsmakers are clearly factoring in significant offensive output.

The biggest driver is Aaron Civale’s recent collapse for the Athletics. The right-hander enters with a 4.91 ERA and bloated 1.59 WHIP through 12 starts. His last outing on June 17 against Pittsburgh was a disaster: just 3 innings, 9 hits, and 6 earned runs. Over his previous stretch he has been consistently hittable, with poor command and too many hard-hit balls. Civale simply isn’t missing bats or keeping the ball in the yard right now, and sending him into a game at Oracle Park against even a middling Giants lineup is asking for trouble.

On the other side, Robbie Ray (5-6, 4.07 ERA) offers better stuff but still carries a 1.33 WHIP and has walked 38 batters in 79.2 innings. The Giants’ offense, led by Jung Hoo Lee’s .327 average and Casey Schmitt’s power, has shown it can capitalize when given opportunities. The Athletics also carry real pop (105 team homers) and have been involved in several high-scoring games lately.

When a normally low-scoring park posts an 8.5 total, it usually signals that both starters are expected to struggle. With Civale in such poor recent form and Ray far from dominant, the conditions are ripe for runs to pile up early and push the game well over the total. I’ll meet you at the cash counter when the over hits before the 7th inning stretch.