Cubs vs Diamondbacks: The Best MLB Play for Monday Night

On Monday, the Cubs and Diamondbacks face off in what should be a high scoring affair on paper. Kevin Gausman has struggled immensely since being traded to the Cubs, and Merrill Kelly has been atrocious for the majority of the season. You could make an argument that the over in this game is the squarest play on the MLB slate on Monday, and that’s exactly why I’m fading it…

Merrill Kelly has struggled immensely this season. He’s given up 12 runs in his last 2 starts, and 18 runs in his last 4 starts combined. For some reason, PrizePicks is hanging a 2.5 earned runs allowed square for Merrill Kelly tonight, which looks like one of the easiest “more thans” you can click in the app. That is exactly why I want to back Merrill Kelly to shove tonight. 

Kevin Gausman has struggled since being traded from the Blue Jays to the Cubs. Tonight, he needs to lock in and prove his worth to his new ballclub as they approach the postseason. Gausman also has a 16.5 pitching outs square on PrizePicks, along with a fantasy score that’s higher than it should be considering how bad he’s been of late. It’s clear that PrizePicks thinks Gausman has his best start in a Cubs uniform tonight. 

The under in this game tonight is probably the nastiest play of the week. Lock it in with me responsibly, and watch Merrill Kelly and Kevin Gausman shove for the first time in eons. I’ll meet you at the cash counter when this game squeaks under the total, somehow, someway.